Comment on Hypothetical scenario. by rick

Parent Post: Hypothetical scenario. · In Reply To

rick · 11/5/2025, 9:46:45 AM · permalink

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hyokkim · 11/6/2025, 1:33:34 AM · permalink

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hyokkim · 11/5/2025, 10:54:32 AM · permalink

''I have been meaning to ask you..Why after 2050?''  
  
That's about when ROK GDP will exceed U.S. GDP; this will start a panic within U.S.    By that point, ROK will be #1 in auto/steel/shipbuilding/A.I./IT, consumer products, and military exports around the world.      
  
When KF-21 becomes the most advanced fighter jet in the world (by around 2035 to 40), there will be a massive shift to KF-21 around the world, massive fortune to be generated for decades to come.     
  
ROK is also about the only country that has the capability to replace USD pegged stablecoin, due to its increasing trade advantages over U.S.   ROK companies will be allowed to create KRW pegged stablecoins for trading purpose.   Nations/peoples will be able to buy goods/services produced by ROK companies, using KRW pegged stablecoins, bypassing USD altogether.  
  
This will drastically reduce the need for nations/peoples to use USD for international trade.   USD will drastically fall in value, especially compared to KRW.     
  
  
https://soj.ooo/p/tech/post/d9c3d394eb8832279aa23d56d9065347  
  
As you already know, U.S. will enter a permanent hyperinflationary period to pay for all these 'entitlement' spending, plus all those 'incidentals' for Israel.    ROK is running an optimal monetary policy to complement its trade advantages and will continue to do so.   
  
Right now, about 99% of fiat pegged stablecoins are USD linked; by 2050, due to both its trade advantages, and optimal monetary policy, about half of the world trade will be conducted through KRW pegged stablecoins.   So, basically this means, USD will lose about half of its demand, while KRW will gain about 10k% relative to today.    This means ROK can print 10k % more than today, without causing hyperinflation, while U.S could print only about half as much as today, but due to her addiction to 'entitlement' spending U.S. will print a lot more than that, causing the collapse of USD relative to KRW.      
  
Alas, but this collapse of USD relative to KRW will not grant U.S. competitive advantage, due to most manufacturing/industrial sector in U.S. having gone either belly up, or acquired by ROK companies, very cheap, by then.     With the collapse of U.S. industries, other than parasitic financial sector, and real estate market, U.S. will have no hope of ever gaining back her former position.   This will trigger massive exodus of talented tech people in U.S. to overseas, most likely ROK.     U.S. will become like Mexico today.

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